Sofia is 29, works in software engineering, and earns more than most of her peers. She also cannot afford to rent a one-bedroom apartment in Lisbon within a 40-minute commute of her office. "I make good money," she says, speaking from a café in Porto where she has relocated after failing to find affordable housing in the capital. "But good money in Portugal no longer means you can live in Portugal."

Her story is becoming increasingly common. According to data released this spring by Statistics Portugal, net emigration among 25–34 year olds turned positive for the first time since 2016 — meaning more young Portuguese are leaving than returning. The reversal comes after nearly a decade in which the government celebrated the homecoming of graduates from London, Paris, and Frankfurt, drawn back by a reviving economy and improved quality of life.